Arms Race 2

Claudio Vargas takes the mound for the Brewers today as they butt heads with the Cubs for the first time. This begins the second time through the rotation for the Brewers. Here's a quick recap on how each of the starters performed the first time out:

Vargas - B
Bush - F
Sheets - A
Suppan - D+
Villanueva - A-

I still think that Capuano (C- in a relief performance) should be strongly in the running for the fifth starting spot. Given Bush's performance the first time out, Suppan and Sheets are the only two I see as locks. Someone asked me why I had Suppan ranked ahead of Sheets (in terms of likelihood to make the rotation) in my last post. It's because Sheets sometimes gets injured and Suppan doesn't. No other reason. If Suppan is 99%, Sheets is 98%.

My updated rankings:

1. Suppan (100%)
2. Sheets (100%)
3. Bush (90%)
4. Vargas (85%)
5. Capuano (60%)
6. Villanueva (50%)
7. Gallardo (10%)
8. Parra (5%)