Thursday, April 8, 2010


There are no important games in April, right?

If the Brewers would manage to sweep the St. Louis Cardinals this weekend at Miller Park they would hold a 3-game lead over them and would increase their mathematical probability of finishing ahead of them in the regular season to 63% (based on a model where all games are 50/50).  If, on the other hand, the Brewers were to get swept by the Cardinals, that probability drops to 37%.  In fact, opportunity knocks all year long.

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